USA & Canada: economics, politics, culture

The monthly publication “USA & Canada: Economics – Politics – Culture” (“USA & Canada” Journal) was founded in 1970 as “USA – Economics, Politics, Ideology” (since 1998 Canada was added). It's main purpose was and still is to inform readers about all aspects of domestic and foreign policies of the USA and Canada as well as current theoretical and practical issues of the international policy, world economic relations, development in different countries of the world. It publishes materials representing results of researches carried out by Russian specialists and foreign analysts on Russian – U.S. and Russian – Canada relations. Now it is the leading journal in Russia and CIS on all these matters. Also the journal publishes articles on such matters as security and defense policies, globalization and integration processes, innovation, scientific and technological progress, international terrorism and counter-terrorism, environmental challenges and cultural issues (literature, music, cinema, arts and architecture) etc.

Mission of the Journal is to provide a platform for authoritative researchers from Russia and the CIS countries to discuss processes and events taking place in the USA and Canada.

Among readers of “USA & Canada” journal are: international researchers and students of above mentioned issues, teachers, post-graduate students and students of higher education institutions, executives and staff of federal and regional state authorities, managers and analysts of banks, corporations, large enterprises.

Among the authors of the journal are: the leading analysts of the Institute of USA & Canada Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences, researchers from other Russian academic and non-academic think-tanks of international profile, foreign researchers, industry analysts and banking experts, professors of the universities and higher education institutions, post-graduate students, representatives of the legislative and executive bodies of the Russian Federation and the CIS countries.

The journal is included in the Russian Higher Attestation Commission List of peer-reviewed scientific publications.

The “USA & Canada: Economics – Politics – Culture” journal is distributed by advance subscription only, and is not offered for sale. The subscription may be accomplished in every post-office in Russia using the Federal Postal Service union catalogue, section “ARSMI», the journal index 70925. The subscription may start from every month, for any number of issues.

Since 2009 it has been possible to receive the full-text online version. The subscription for it is done centrally through the Russian Electronic Library system https://elibrary.ru/title_about.asp?id=8241

Editor-in-Chief of the journal - A. Panov.

Media registration certificate: ПИ № ФС 77 - 71487 от 13.11.2017

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编号 12 (2024)

年: 2024
文章: 11
URL: https://permmedjournal.ru/2686-6730/issue/view/11634

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The Current Discourse

"13 Keys to the White House" for Donald Trump: Election Observation

Fedorov V.

摘要

Since 1984, the predictive model for determining the winner of the presidential election, "13 Keys to the White House", developed by A. Lichtman and V. Keilis-Borok, has been successfully used in American political science. Based on this model, the author conducts remote election monitoring and offers his own forecast of the expected outcome of the 2024 presidential elections in the United States. American voters are highly likely to vote for Donald Trump, who was predicted to become the 47th president of the United States. The increasing polarization of the American electorate is considered within the framework of the sociological and economic theory of electoral behavior.

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USA & Canada: economics, politics, culture. 2024;(12):5-19

5-19

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Transregional Security Impacts of the Special Military Operation and Strategic Interests of the United States and China (Part 2)

Yixiang S.

摘要

The article analyzes the evolving dynamics of global strategic interests amid major international conflicts, focusing on the geopolitical consequences of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the strategic maneuvers of key powers like the United States, NATO, China, and Russia. It explores how the U.S. has utilized the conflict to realign its global influence, strengthen NATO, and project power in the Indo-Pacific, emphasizing its intention to counter both Russian and Chinese influence. The U.S. benefits economically from Europe's growing dependency, while using the conflict to enhance military-industrial partnerships and sanctioning regimes targeting Russia and China. China’s strategic realignment, in response, seeks to bolster Sino-Russian cooperation and expand influence in the Asia-Pacific through initiatives like the "Asian Mediterranean" concept, which envisions deeper Eurasian integration. The author outlines China’s attempts to balance its maritime and land power dynamics while navigating heightened U.S. efforts to isolate it diplomatically and militarily. It also highlights the potential for high-tech cooperation between China and Russia as a countermeasure to Western sanctions and technological blockades.

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USA & Canada: economics, politics, culture. 2024;(12):20-33

20-33

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Economics

United States in Global Exports at the Beginning of the Third Decade

Lebedeva L.

摘要

The article contributes to the discussion of the United States’ role in the international trade developments, focusing on its position in global merchandise exports under new geopolitical and economic conditions, as well as the export policy of Washington's administration. It highlights the latest trends in international trade, including America’s trade balance. While trade growth after the COVID-19 pandemic has been positive (both merchandise trade and services have exceeded pre-pandemic levels), this trend and its outlook remain unstable due to a number of risks including sanctions, geopolitical tensions. The transformation of the United States’ position in global exports at the beginning of the third decade occurring amid the formation of a new world order. While tensions between United States and China as the world's two largest trade partners remain, the United States is actively diversifying its trade partnerships. The effects of the U.S. export policy at the beginning of the third decade are not only short term but also long term, posing new challenges to international relations.

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USA & Canada: economics, politics, culture. 2024;(12):34-44

34-44

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The American Industrial Consensus and Its Enemies

Tolkachev S.

摘要

The article analyses a fundamental shift in the philosophy of U.S. economic policy implemented by the administration of President Biden in the so-called "Bidenomics". It is shown that Biden's economic policy, despite sharp contradictions with the policy of D. Trump, continues the course of the previous U.S. president on protectionism and the safeguarding of American industry. Bidenomics embodies a final break with the fundamental principles of Reaganomics and the "Washington Consensus", which for more than 40 years defined the global economic order. The economic ideology of protectionism and industrial policy is gaining more and more adherents among representatives of the U.S. scientific and political establishment, even among former proponents of neoliberalism. The arguments of Bidenomics opponents, represented by advocates of neoliberal ideology who see danger in the bipartisan consensus on the issue of industrial policy, are analysed. The essence of their criticism boils down to fundamental rejection of the apparent collapse of globalisation and the formation of a new model of the global world order, which requires a different value-based economic paradigm.

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USA & Canada: economics, politics, culture. 2024;(12):45-59

45-59

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Reconfiguration of the U.S. and Canadian Nuclear Industries

Khoroshilov E.

摘要

Nuclear energy industry is currently undergoing a renaissance due to its competitiveness in the global energy market and its indispensability in the context of the energy transition and the "climate" agenda of global elites. The USA and Canada are among the leading players in the global nuclear technologies market. They possess uranium reserves and technologies for uranium extraction, conversion, enrichment, nuclear fuel production, and nuclear power plants construction. They also rely on their own well-developed nuclear power sectors, which together account for about a third of the world's nuclear power generation. However, in recent years, the United States and Canada have gradually lost ground in many segments of the global nuclear energy market. A reconfiguration of the North American nuclear industry is currently underway. To a large extent, the new institutional structure of the American-Canadian alliance in the global nuclear technology market has already crystallized around Cameco – Westinghouse Electric consortium, formed under the auspices of the investment group Brookfield, and the CANDU ecosystem. For the United States, the main priority in the field of nuclear energy today is increasing uranium enrichment capacity and overcoming dependence on Russia in this area. In addition, Washington and Ottawa aim to strengthen their positions abroad, both in the construction of new reactors and in the supply of nuclear fuel and uranium mining. They are also working on expanding their own nuclear generation capacities and developing small modular reactors. On the international stage, the institutionalization of the American-Canadian alliance in the field of nuclear energy makes it inevitable that the United States and Canada will attempt to regain market share in atomic energy technologies, nuclear fuel, and uranium raw materials. They will also work to undermine the Russian Federation’s position in these markets, reduce its export revenues, and slow down the development of its nuclear energy industry.

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USA & Canada: economics, politics, culture. 2024;(12):60-73

60-73

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Military Policy

Climate Change and Military Planning in the United States

Stepanova N.

摘要

The article examines changes in U.S. military planning approaches in the context of climate threats, focusing on the impact of climate change on national and international security. The author analyzes the evolution of the perception of climate phenomena as a risk, starting with the policies of the Barack Obama administration and including the current measures of the Joe Biden administration. The paper notes that climate change is seen not only as a direct threat to military installations, but also as a factor that can exacerbate social and political tensions, cause migration crises and regional conflicts. One of the key points is the integration of climate risks into the strategic planning of the U.S. Department of Defense, which is reflected in a number of directives and strategies, such as the Climate Adaptation Plan and the Climate Risk Analysis. Particular attention is given to the development of the DCAT geospatial tool that assesses the vulnerability of military installations to climate change. The article also examines legislative initiatives in the U.S. Congress to support DOD's efforts to mitigate climate change and increase the resilience of military infrastructure. Examples of specific measures aimed at reducing green-house gas emissions, developing clean energy, and improving energy efficiency are provided. Special attention is paid to the U.S. Arctic Strategy, which recognizes climate change as a key driver affecting the strategic environment in the region. Strategic documents repeatedly emphasize the importance of interagency cooperation and strategic planning in a changing climate to minimize risks to U.S. military readiness and national interests.

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USA & Canada: economics, politics, culture. 2024;(12):74-87

74-87

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Politics and People

Kamala Harris: 'A New Sign of a Seismic Shift' in 2024 Presidential Race

Shvedova N.

摘要

July 21, 2024, will take its place in the political history of the United States: President J. Biden withdrew from the presidential race for a second term and proposed Vice President Kamala Harris as his replacement on the list of candidates. The inevitability of changing the Democratic candidature in the midst of the campaign was driven by J. Biden’s evident fiasco in the "first" confrontation with a Republican rival, as well as his advanced age. The drama of the events reached its peak, and overnight, K. Harris gained a chance to become the leading contender for her party’s nomination. Academician G.A. Arbatov once wrote: "Politics is a resultant force that consists of many applied forces and factors" [12]. It was in this vein that the events of the 2024 presidential elections unfolded, where the intrigue of the winner remained until the very end.

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USA & Canada: economics, politics, culture. 2024;(12):88-102

88-102

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National Security Advisors Under Donald Trump and Joseph Biden

Mamedova A.

摘要

The functions of the National Security Council (NSC) and the Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs, commonly referred to as the National Security Advisor (NSA), have significantly evolved. The article concentrates on the functions of the NSA that came to the fore depending on the president’s leadership style during the administrations of Donald Trump and Joseph Biden. Studies of the ‘Scowcroft model’, which emphasizes the role of the NSA as both an “honest broker” and the president’s personal advisor, serve as the theoretical framework for this article. In the Trump administration, Michael Flynn and John Bolton seemed to deviate from the model, affecting the efficiency of the decision-making process. In contrast, Herbert McMaster and Robert O’Brien emphasized adherence to the model. By the end of Trump’s tenure, the NSC’s operations began to align more closely with the ‘Scowcroft model’. During Biden’s tenure, the Clinton-Obama team has largely been reassembled, with minimal dissenting opinions, if any. Jacob Sullivan has combined the traditional roles of the NSA – as both a broker and the president’s personal advisor on strategy – with responsibilities that were considered undesirable in the recent past.

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USA & Canada: economics, politics, culture. 2024;(12):103-118

103-118